BOGOTA, Colombia (AP) 鈥� As a crucial climate lawsuit heads to trial in next week, experts say the case brought by Peruvian farmer Saul Luciano Lliuya against German energy giant RWE could set a significant precedent in the fight to hold major polluters accountable for climate change.
鈥淭his is one of the first cases of its kind 鈥� a case brought by someone directly affected by climate change against a major greenhouse gas emitter 鈥� that has made it all the way to trial,鈥� said Noah Walker-Crawford, a research fellow at the London School of Economics and an adviser to the non-profit Germanwatch, which has been advising Lliuya.
Lliuya鈥檚 lawsuit against argues that the company鈥檚 historical greenhouse gas emissions have fueled global warming, above his hometown of Huaraz, Peru. As a result, Lake Palcacocha has swelled to dangerous levels, threatening the community with the risk of catastrophic flooding.
RWE, which has never operated in Peru, denies legal responsibility, arguing that climate change is a global issue caused by many contributors.
Concern over melting glaciers
鈥淚t鈥檚 very sad and painful to see the glaciers melting,鈥� Lliuya, 45, told Associated Press in a video call from Germany. 鈥淭here is a lot of concern from people in my community about the future, about the issue of water, because all the rivers that come down from the mountains are used for farming.鈥�
Walker-Crawford said of all these cases around the world, this is the one that鈥檚 gone the furthest.
鈥淚t has already set a partial precedent in that the courts found it admissible in 2017, which means that the judges said the case is solid in legal terms,鈥� he said. 鈥淣ow, the court is hearing evidence, and we鈥檒l see whether the company鈥檚 responsibility can be proven in this specific case.鈥�
Sebastien Duyck, a senior attorney at the Center for International Environmental Law, says the reason why the case is so significant is not the decision itself or the amount of damages sought, but the precedent it would set.
鈥淚f we could use tort law to say that any fossil fuel corporation that has contributed significantly to climate change can be held liable for climate-related costs in proportion to their emissions, it could open the door for many similar cases worldwide,鈥� he said.
Case could be a 鈥榞ame changer鈥�
The case could be 鈥渁 game changer鈥�, according to Murray Worthy, from Zero Carbon Analytics, a research group on climate change.
鈥淭his case is absolutely crucial," Worthy said. 鈥淲hile this is just one case focused on this one place in Peru, the wider implications are huge. The costs and damages from climate change could run to tens of trillions of dollars a year, and if fossil fuel companies at large are found to be responsible for those and need to pay those costs, it would completely change the finances and outlook for the entire fossil fuel industry.鈥�
RWE is one of Germany鈥檚 largest energy companies, historically recognized as a major producer of electricity from fossil fuels.
RWE says the lawsuit is legally inadmissible and that it sets a dangerous precedent by holding individual emitters accountable for global climate change.
鈥淚n our view, there is no legal basis for holding individual issuers liable for global phenomena such as climate change. Due to the large number of global emissions of greenhouse gases from both natural and human sources, as well as the complexity of the climate, it is not possible, in our opinion, to legally attribute specific effects of climate change to a single issuer,鈥� the company said in response to questions posed by AP.
The company insists climate solutions should be addressed through state and international policies, not the courts.
Walker-Crawford said the court is entering the evidence-gathering phase, examining whether Lliuya's home actually faces a significant risk of flooding.
鈥淚f the court decides that the risk is high enough, it will then assess whether RWE鈥檚 emissions can be scientifically linked to that risk,鈥� he said.
Regardless of the case鈥檚 final outcome, Walker-Crawford said it鈥檚 likely to reinforce the legal foundation for future lawsuits.
鈥淓ven if the specific risk in this case isn鈥檛 deemed high enough, the precedent that companies can be held liable for their climate impacts would still stand,鈥� he said.
The case鈥檚 outcome could also have financial repercussions.
Climate litigation could impact financial markets
鈥淲e鈥檙e already starting to see the impact of climate litigation on financial markets,鈥� Walker-Crawford said. 鈥淩esearch has shown that when climate cases against corporations move past major hurdles, it negatively affects the stock market value of the companies being sued. Investors are starting to take note of the significant financial liability climate litigation can pose.鈥�
Lliuya, who also works as a mountain guide for tourists, said he started the lawsuit with little hope. Ten years on, that hope has grown.
鈥淲hen the German judges visited my home and the lake in 2022, it gave me hope 鈥� hope that our voices were being heard and that justice might be possible," he said. 鈥淲hatever the outcome, we have come a long way and I feel good about that,鈥� he said.
The hearing will begin Monday.
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Franklin Briceno in Lima, Peru, contributed to this report.
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Steven Grattan, The Associated Press
